By A Web Design

Eurodystopia: A Future Divided





Just about everyone will recognize the family name. Fewer will be familiar with the man behind it. But Alfred (Freddy) Heineken was an interesting man regardless. Starting in 1941, he took over the family firm founded by his grandfather, bought back shares and never looked back. Freddy built the Heineken brand into one of the best marketed ones in the world for any product, and today, 10 years after his death, it is still in the very top of world breweries.

But Heineken didn't just think about beer. When the European Union was formed, he devoted time to letting his light shine on that project too (Heineken was a known Europhile). What he brought to the table was that, of course, he knew Europe well, from his own unique personal business experience. He oversaw, hands on, not just sales, but also marketing in all the different European languages and cultures.

Heineken didn't trust that the European Union would work the way it was proposed - and eventually organized -. According to him, if Europe were to be a success, it would have to be divided in far smaller units than the nation states that had been formed post-WWII.

It's reminiscent a little of Joel Garreau's "Nine Nations of North America", published in 1981. I don't know if Heineken knew the book, but given his overall curiosity and his wide array of contacts with business leaders, politicians and artists all over the world (Heineken was a very wealthy man), it wouldn't surprise me. Then again, his vision is based on completely different ideas than Garreau's.

For those who are not familiar with Garreau's work, here's a map of how he "envisioned" North America:


 


Garreau divided the continent into units that he thought would be most coherent from the point of view of culture, political ideals and economic interests. Interesting notions, and a good book to pick up.

Back to Heineken, who would have found Garreau's units far too sizeable for his liking. He was thinking along the lines of optimally manageable untis.

Immediately after the 1992 Maastricht Treaty saw European nations sign away the first real chunks of sovereignty, Freddy Heineken published his pamphlet The United States of Europe (A Eurotopia?), written with Dutch historians Henk Wesseling and Wim van den Doel. The underlying idea here is that the individual units (statelets) should have no more than 5-10 million inhabitants.

Philip Ebels revoked the idea in an article written for EU Observer last week:


For the United Statelets of Europe

[..] If the EU was considered a country, it would be seventh on the list of biggest countries and third on the list by population size. And, as officials in Brussels never tire of repeating, first on the list of biggest economies.

The time is [..] gone when people were ignorant and obedient. The time when they did not annoy their leaders with demands of transparency, efficiency, democracy and accountability.

Technological progress has always led to political turbulence, often at the expense of those in power. The Internet, just like the printing press before, gives people access to information and the power to create and distribute, undermining establishments everywhere - not only in the Arab world.

That is why states are doing what they need to accommodate an ever more demanding and emancipated people: decentralise. The UK, Germany, France, Spain, Italy: all have passed down powers over the last couple of decades. The closer the power, the more transparent, efficient, democratic and accountable it is.


Everything which has a function, one could argue, has an optimal size. A pen can be bigger or smaller, you still need to be able to use it. The European welfare state has multiple functions. It needs to protect its territory from outside, uphold the rule of law, provide healthcare, education, take care of the roads and the forests and - to a more or lesser degree - distribute wealth.

The problem is that each of those functions has its own optimal size and that, as the world continues to change, they continue to diverge. The result is not that the state does not work anymore - it just does not work very well. Like a pen as big as a broom or as small as a splinter - you might still be able to use it, but it is not very practical.

It is a trend that will continue as long as technology continues to progress. China and other rising giants will continue to rise; the ruled will continue to undermine their rulers. And then there will come a day - or has it come already? - that the European states of today do more harm than good [..]

Heineken called it "Eurotopia" - a contraction of Europe and utopia. He was well aware of the skepsis the idea would garner. But radical times call for radical measures. And the way things are going, I prefer utopia over dystopia.


Here's a nice version of Heineken's map:


 


Map: BMoreGeo.com

More background comes from Peter Jan Margry in 2008:


Memorialising Europe: Revitalising and Reframing a 'Christian' Continent

"(...) Heineken was convinced of the positive consequences of this process of the decay of centralism in favour of a Eurotopia as he called it. Immediately after the signing of the Maastricht Treaty in 1992 many were already afraid of a Europe that was becoming too large and too powerful, despite the fact that, as an antidote for this, a representational Committee of the Regions had been included in the Treaty in order to weaken these tendencies and, at the same time, answer the call for more regional autonomy.

Initially, as a hypothetical response to this, Heineken went public with his plan for a United States of Europe. This involved a union composed of 75 independent states, created on the basis of political, historical, linguistic, cultural and ethnic affinities and sensitivities. Taking cultural differences into account in precisely this way would strengthen Europe as an entity. Although nothing was ever done politically as a consequence of this idealistic proposal, the underlying analysis is not inconsistent with developments in the years that followed – on the contrary.

The proposed decentralization and federalizing of Europe on the basis of smaller geographic units proceeded from the central idea that it would prevent conflicts and promote stability and equality. This assumption was based, on the one hand, on the theory of the British historian C Northcote Parkinson that smaller national units could be less centralized, more efficient and therefore more stable, and, on the other hand, on the thesis of the Austrian sociologist Leopold Kohr (1957) that ‘bigness is a problem’. In effect, both embroider [Denis] de Rougemont’s initial preference for a regionalized, federalist Europe.

As early as the late 1960s, as a result of the European Communities, a process of growing regional autonomy had slowly got under way. The converging supranational and diverging national forces would, it was supposed, bring Europe more to its ‘natural state’, preserving the various regional identities. Because of regionalist tendencies the nation-state network was breaking down, and within various member states regions were gaining far-reaching autonomy.

According to an almost apodictic commentary in The Economist, if the logic for splitting up Czechoslovakia could be carried through, then there was all the more reason that the same should be done in Belgium, with its even greater language and economic divisions. Meanwhile, Spain fears the regional autonomy claimed by the Basques and Catalans, while France has to deal with a Corsican struggle for autonomy; similar claims are made by the Scots, Hungarian minorities throughout the Balkans, and so on."


So why all this attention for a billionaire beerbrewer's spare time activities? The answer lies in those last lines. "Spain fears the regional autonomy claimed by the Basques and Catalans, while France has to deal with a Corsican struggle for autonomy; similar claims are made by the Scots, Hungarian minorities throughout the Balkans, and so on."

The map of Heineken's utopia could quite feasibly serve as the blueprint for a dystopia. When the financial crisis starts to bite for real, and it will, count on it, it appears inevitable that nations and/or parts of nations begin preparing for independence. There are plenty of regions in Europe that hang on as parts of larger entities only for economic reasons. When these reasons no longer exist, appeals for separation will become louder.

It won't be a coherent movement, far from it. It will be chaotic. But there seems to be no way that certain regions will not fall prey to populists, nationalists, and in general the resurrection of age-old ideas that never disappeared, but that simply lay dormant under a thin veneer of riches.

Why would the Catalans or the Basques elect to continue to be a part of Spain, when the government in Madrid has nothing to offer but empty coffers? Why would they let others decide for them when that brings them no economic advantages? Any charismatic leader might convince them that they would be better off as a separate unit. And that leader might be right to boot.

Why should the Scots remain in the United Kingdom? And what might happen in for instance Galicia, Silesia, Moravia, regions that have seen many different rulers in recent history only? What ancient cultural, religious or other divides will rise to the surface all over again?

It is not at all imaginary that regions want (back) their independence. And neither is it that borders between regions will be contested, that people will be told that only warfare will be sufficient to show "those over there", who committed untold horrible if not unspeakable atrocities an untold number of years ago, that now is the time to avenge the ancestors who died to defend the land they now live on.

For obvious reasons, we call this scenario the Balkanization of Europe.

It will not develop exactly along the lines and borders that Freddy Heineken saw as desirable. But we may well one day think back of that map, and not for the reasons Heineken meant it for. I think along those lines on a regular basis when I see the likes of Monti, Draghi and Rajoy present their grandiose plans to save the union, and their place in it, far more costly than any can afford, as it's sinking ever deeper into its overwhelming debt morass.


Image Top: dreamslayerartworks.com


 

Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by DaveDann #4820
'large kingdoms like France and Great Britain'

Great Britain is smaller than the state of Michigan, for example, though larger than Vermont.
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by occupyMBA #4819
When a region loses the plot in the (often but not always economic) narrative of why it should be a part of a larger nation, it may strive for autonomy, but the larger nation still may have a compelling reason to keep it. That's how large kingdoms like France and Great Britain were built in the first place. There may be little mutual advantage, but a Skåne, Corsica, or Galicia (both of them) may still be prevented from walking off on its own.

By the way, a convention on Vermont's possible independence from the USA will be held in the Vermont Statehouse, Montpelier, Vermont, on September 14th. See here for details: vermontrepublic.org/2012-vermont-independence-party

Such ideas are always around...
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by DaveDann #4813
The regionalisation of Europe is an interesting idea. Unfortunately when it is pursued as a policy by the central EU bureaucracy it could be a centralising influence since the regions are not able to counter the central power as much as the nation states were. The central EU bureaucracy shows little sign of abolishing itself.
The map of England is virtually that of the old Anglo-Saxon heptarchy yet those seven kingdoms have been effectively united since at least 973AD with the coronation of Edgar at Bath Abbey. I think we can call that 'resilience'.
In my opinion a bigger problem in England currently is the overwhelming power and wealth of the money factory called London that distorts all economic life here.
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by ilargi #4810
Not big on art, are you, Steve?!
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by steve from virginia #4809
BTW, the image from Dreamslayer artworks is so wrong it's laughable. The only way to see the Manhattan Bridge behind the Brooklyn Bridge as seen in the painting is to stand on the waterfront in Brooklyn and look north. Needless to say, the Empire State Building is in Manhattan, across the river about 4 miles from the two bridges.

If you stand where the Empire State Building is looking toward Manhattan- and Brooklyn bridges the former is in 'front' of the latter and neither can be seen ... they are around a bend in the East River.

It's as bad as having Yankee Stadium in Queens or the Eiffel Tower in Copenhagen.
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by steve from virginia #4808
Funny, governments like those of Stockton, California and Cyprus ... are proving unaffordable. Perhaps it's time to redefine government ...

There is too much thinking on the idea of management as if this situation we find ourselves in is a matter of the head and policy, of bad software in the computer up in the office at the top floor of a high building. Adjusting the head, reprogramming the computer will 'solve' the problem and everyone can get back to 'doing business'.

The problems are in the basement, in the foundation, they are structural cracks that are growing. There is decreasing capital, we cannibalize capital, we burn it up for nothing. It's no longer a matter of adjustments so that we can consume capital more rapidly. It's a matter of hanging on to what we have and learning to get by without using it, without bringing the entire enterprise down around our heads.

Say what you will about management in Europe and elsewhere, underway is conservation by other means.

It's no longer an option. It's the future.
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by gurusid #4804
Hi Ilargi,

This reminds me of Dr Gall's "Systems People":

"The preceding considerations have provided convincing evidence that the System has its effects on the people within it. It isolates them, feeds them a distorted and partial version of the outside world, and gives then the illusion of power and effectiveness(1). But Systems and people are related in another, subtler way. A selective process goes on, whereby Systems attract and keep those people whose attributes are such as to adapt them to life in that System:

SYSTEMS ATTRACT SYSTEMS-PEOPLE

Systems-people everywhere share certain attributes, but each specific system tends to attract people with specific sets of traits. For example, people who are attracted to auto-racing are likely to be those who enjoy tinkering with high-powered cars, driving fast, and beating other people in fierce competition. The System calls forth those attributes in its members and rewards the extreme degrees of them.
However, the particular attributes that a given System fosters can only rarely be correctly inferred in advance; the actual situation is likely to contain surprises. And such attributes are not necessarily the attributes required for successful operation of the System itself; e.g., the qualities necessary for being elected President are not the qualities needed for properly running the country.” (caps in original) (From: John Gall, 2002, "The Systems Bible", p.55.)

Note Chap 10: (1), Irving L.Janis. “Groupthink.” Yale Alumni Magazine 36: 16-19, (January) 1973.

Current thinking is no good as regards solutions to the problems, we need something new; but paradoxically we haven't thought of that yet... and are unlikely to until the 'situation' arises.

L,
Sid.
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by regionswork #4802
Political scientists, geographers, historians, scientists, pundits - like to redraw political boundaries based on some superb logic. The boundaries we have are hard won and are the basis for identity in this world. Not everyone agrees, but that doesn't change much. Civil war is not pretty. Political boundaries are the basis of identity. You wear your nation, state, or local government hat. In each case adults have a direct vote, pay taxes and get services. There are both economies and dis-economies of scale for governments. They persist based on the cumulative infrastructure of the societies and the civil obedience of the community. That creates stability and security. Global capitalism has messed with that. The economists have been blind to the impact of credit and debt in the private sector, for corporations and individuals. In this environment, the people struggle to maintain a vision of the future and perpetuate their families and values. Community motive, that greater force which has enabled human survival and growth of civilization, will overcome the recent infatuation with the lesser profit motive, something that can only exist within community.
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by snuffy #4800
I saw that note in Reuters..and other places like zero hedge.Lost of things are liable to happen after the elections.

I tend to agree living in one of these statelets might not be to my liking...think about the worst southern-cracker judicial system mixed with a all-powerful federal,also subject to abuse...euuu ick...Bad Idea..

Bee good,or
Bee careful


snuffy
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by Nassim #4794
Heineken was a remarkable man. I still remember his kidnapping:

www.guardian.co.uk/film/2011/oct/21/kidnapper-heineken-film-willem-holleeder

They made a film of the kidnapping and one of the kidnappers has taken the film-makers to court accusing them of "damaging his reputation". This guy is in prison again for a much-later offence
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by Adam Goodwin #4790
I just picked this story up on Reuters. Note the time frame (3-6 months).

in.reuters.com/article/2012/08/10/idINL2E8J6D7920120810

Hold onto your hats, people!
Posted: 10 months, 1 week ago by jal #4788
The underlying idea here is that the individual units (statelets) should have no more than 5-10 million inhabitants.


Heineken brings a new meaning to

"Big fish in a little pond"

"Doomstead"

As a doomstead Lybia fell, Syria is in the process of failing.

If one was fortunate to survive the transition, living in one of those "statelets" would not be pleasant.

Think N. Korea.

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