Debt Rattle April 4 2020

The John Gray article is aight but I have to worry when someone uses a phrase like anarchy of the global market..
And while I am getting picky – AEI is a non-partisan think tank closely linked to conservative thought. – Really? what are they conserving? resources? nope. stability? nope. national unity? nope.
Raul, good job today calling bullshit on forecasters waxing lyrical about our future. The experts are just so expert these days it seems.
On Corona – I have to say that down here in Australia we seem to be in the top tier of dealing with this health crisis. When you consider our absolute iron-grip ties to Chinese tourists, students and businesses – they are our number one trading partner and all that – I would say our numbers are low and that curve is getting flat out like a lizard drinking.

modeling
You got me thinking that I should try to find info at a smaller/granular level.
Therefore, Here is something to read.

Hawaii COVID-19 Daily News Digest April 3, 2020

LABORATORY TESTING DATA

Airline Arrivals Continue to Drop – 20
On Thursday 543 people arrived at state airports and of that number only 89 were visitors. Most of the passengers were returning residents. The state’s 14-day, mandatory self-quarantine order is for all out-of-state arrivals and interisland travelers, unless exempted. The table does not include interisland travelers at this time.
——–

https://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/2020/04/04/how-long-will-it-take-before-coronavirus-tapers-off-life-returns-normal/
HONOLULU, Hawaii (HawaiiNewsNow) – Boarded up shops. Empty streets. “Takeout Only” signs in the window. Face masks. All sights of what has been called the ‘new normal’.
And with most people staying at home, rush hour seems to be a distant memory of the past.

Based on data and current projections, Director of the Hawaii Department of Health Dr. Bruce Anderson said it could be a month before Hawaii hits its peak, and even longer before we’re in the clear.
“We’re going to be looking at at least a month until we actually reach our peak, and then we can expect the disease to tail off. It may be considerably longer than that. Time will tell as to how effective our mitigation measures are,” Anderson added.

Will do, Raul.

How on earth are they estimating peak dates with no testing? That’s not facts. This, plus everything else, since October, you’re being played.

“ This Crisis Is A Turning Point In History (John Gray) “

Gray is talking about re-localizing, something The Automatic Earth has been saying is inevitable for more than 10 years. Therefore, when it arrives, it’s not due to virus, but to systems analysis.

Pleasant that he doesn’t attack his home country for a change. I thought if you didn’t do that, they’d take your passport and expel you. He didn’t instantly surrender Britain to anyone who asks, so he won’t be asked to any dinner parties. The important people always hate their country, betray and surrender it, and are very, very proud.

“ Russian Ventilators Sent To US Made By Firm Under US Sanctions (R.) “

They just make up laws in their heads, then follow or don’t follow whatever laws they feel like. Like every other day. D—n, It’s good to be a gangsta’

“ US Snatches Masks From Germany In Act Of ‘Modern Piracy’ – Berlin (RT) “

Nice to report that, but France just did this, and most especially China denied all existence of Wu while buying up millions worldwide, sapping 3M and Australia, and then sending non-masks certain to kill doctors…possibly even the masks argued about in this article. But what was “invoke the powers act” going to be BUT this? And do we really say, “yeah, we’re just going to let all Americans die because Germany, claiming to be far safer, far less hit, would like to save an additional person.”

Not saying this is the solution, just those are the moving parts. Are nations supposed to HURT their own and save everybody BUT their citizens? According to all government over the last 20 years, yes. The only people who are to be sacrificed are Americans, everyone BUT all 7 Billion, 660 Million foreigners are to be actively murdered. Oh, that’s us. Or at least us outside NYC, as Cuomo is demonstrating. But is that a rational and normal thing? Of course not. Nations are supposed to prefer their own citizens and help everyone else as much as they’re able. This from a country that demanded we go to Wuhan and shut down the virus, and have jurisdiction over their animal markets. We’re Team America: World Police, right?

“US AG Barr Orders Release Of More Federal Inmates (R.) “

NY just released 8 sex offenders, 3 “likely to re-offend” and put them up in a nice hotel, at taxpayer expense, right next to a school. In a society with no jobs and everyone wearing masks. The only good part about letting them out is the schools are closed and kids are home. But sure, please release all the predators and rapists you have and keep drug offenders in. Oh then if you stay alone all day on a paddleboat or in a park 40′ from anyone, arrest them. If you’re on a packed subway train for no reason, that’s fine. #Cuomo!

“Ankle Monitors Ordered For Kentucky Residents Refusing Quarantine (Hill) “

This is the problem with Martensen’s plan: ain’t nobody going to follow it. He’s a smart guy raised by smart guys in school with smart well-behaved guys. However, Jimmy-Bob in Western Kentucky has the mind of a junior-high student (somebody has to be on that bell curve), his family is hardly better, and he doesn’t give a f—. About anything, ever, which is why you see them on “Cops” getting pulled over with a bottle, a 10# bag of pills, and their kids in the back. Like other children, they literally incapable of following strict directions, which is no slight to them personally. However, there are a lot of them, and may-fold more of them than policemen, judges, even if you ran the ankle-bracelet factory day and night, besides which they’d cut it off with pliers, because, as said, they don’t give a f—. Jail means nothing to them because they can’t think that far. Good luck with your “laws” and “rules” suckers. They don’t apply to the insiders, and they don’t apply to Jimmy-Bob, only to people like me who weren’t doing anything wrong in the first place. But we have an answer: more laws.

“Trump Firing Inspector General Who Flagged Whistleblower Complaint (NBC) “

Was that the guy who changed all the rules and paperwork to make it “legal”? Like I said, rules don’t apply, only to you and me. He’ll be collecting 5-figure pension and a 6-figure Gofundme for good work. Wrongdoing? I think we did the full investigation they suggested and didn’t find it. Many times. In fact, continuously. However, Schiff promises this time, this time, he’s investigating again. What Ukraine, what finger-rape by 2020 candidates? Believe the man, believe the accused, not the victim.

“Translator Exonerated Don Jr. In Trump Tower Meeting (Solomon) “

Once again, wildly illegal and unconstitutional, no one cares. Trump is still guilty, RussiaRussiaRussia. We’ll get that rascally road runner some day.

“Monsanto Predicted Crop System Would Damage US Farms (G.) “

Sure, but the FDA finally doing their job: outlawed wildly used Zantac as a cancer risk. Known for a while, so who was holding on this? Why not noticed in paid studies by experts, colleges, and pharmaceutical companies, drug been nationwide for decades? Need I ask? Monsanto no different: pay everything, buy off regulators, colleges and experts can’t betray their countries and own children fast enough. No men to be found. Never question. Always surrender.

Thanks for the reference, sumac.carol

Btw, what’s up with the use of the word ‘granular’ all over the innertubes lately??

I told Ya!

https://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/2020/04/04/air-force-confirms-first-case-covid-hawaii-based-airman/
U.S. Air Force confirms its first Hawaii-based case of COVID-19

By Dillon Ancheta | April 4, 2020 at 11:08 AM HST – Updated April 4 at 11:12 AM
HONOLULU, Hawaii (HawaiiNewsNow) – The U.S. Air Force has confirmed the first positive case of COVID-19 for an active duty airman in Hawaii.

Officials say the active duty military member is assigned to the Pacific Air Forces headquarters, and tested positive on April 2.

The person is in isolation at an off-base home. The individual also didn’t have any recent travel history, but did have contact with other personnel throughout the headquarters building.
Officials added that Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam remains at the Health Protection Condition Charlie. No immediate restrictions are in place, though that will change as needed.

Going forward, the Air Force and other military services will only provide the total numbers of members who tested positive for COVID-19 at the service level.

my parents said know

Thanks for the link
Good.
I dug up a report
Better people than me can figure out the implication of these reports.
It will be interesting to see covic19 in next year reports.

https://www.euromomo.eu/methods/pdf/european_excess_mortality_2017_18.pdf
Discussion
Seasonal influenza causes a major health burden [20], especially for the elderly and persons with underlying health conditions. In addition to the direct effects of influenza infection,
underlying health conditions may be exacerbated leading to poor
health outcomes and even premature death. In this situation,
influenza or respiratory tract infection may not be registered as
cause of death. Hence, estimates of influenza-attributable mortality based on all-cause rather than cause-specific mortality e.g.
respiratory deaths including influenza and pneumonia, is expected
to be higher. Influenza-attributable deaths coded as nonrespiratory deaths have been found to be at the same magnitude
as for respiratory influenza mortality [21,22]. Therefore, all-cause
mortality attributable to influenza may be expected to be around
the double of influenza mortality based on respiratory cause of
death alone.
Recently, a global study estimated average annual influenzaassociated respiratory mortality rates in Europe from 1999 to
2015 to be 3.1 to 8.0 per 100,000 population [23]. As expected,
these estimates are lower than the median of the all-cause estimates of influenza-attributable mortality of 13.3 per 100,000
population (Table 3).

My parents said know:

Speaking of Boston, 101 years ago 21people drowned in the Great Boston Molasses Flood!

That was one hell of a sticky mess!

DoDSR, the Department of Defense Serum Repository

RAND Study on the Role of the DoDSR in Pandemic Influenza Preparedness

On May 1, 2009, during the early stages of the 2009 H1N1 flu outbreak, an unpublished RAND study, originally commissioned in 2006 by USACHPPM was published in its entirety on WikiLeaks. The leaked documents[33]included a justification for the $500,000 contract cost, directly authorized by former Surgeon General of the United States ArmyKevin C. Kiley on August 4, 2006, which stated the study and its 12-month timetable for delivery was necessary

… to describe the current and future capabilities of the Department of Defense Serum Repository to assist with the early identification and response to an influenza pandemic. Adequate resources are not available in-house to perform these analyses in sufficient time to prepare for a pandemic …

Despite the leaked study draft’s publication date of May 2008, at the time of the leak and outbreak in May 2009, RAND listed the study as a “current project”, noting in its description that “the threat of an emerging human pandemic [has] highlighted the importance of a comprehensive U.S. Armed Forces health surveillance architecture”.[34] Around the time of the leaked documents’ appearance on WikiLeaks, the lead author of the unpublished RAND study published an op-ed piece[35] in The Baltimore Sun describing the control of the outbreak a concern of “national security”, and highlighting the need to “marshal the best … institutional strengths … to prevent, detect and respond effectively to this latest infectious disease”.

Where’s the Evidence Supporting the Drastic Measures Against COVID-19?
The more I learn the more I am concerned about govt response to covid. I am in schizophrenia world -hearing a constant barrage of lockdown rules, while reading that this is a nothing burger and the treatment is worse than the disease. I think this combo will be very difficult for most people to digest. By the time they figure out they’ve been played the damage will have been done.