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  • in reply to: Putin and Wagner #134715
    chooch
    Participant
    in reply to: Debt Rattle May 3 2023 #134558
    chooch
    Participant

    Cool

    “Last week an incredibly insightful federal judge issued a decision and order that will allow, for the first time in 44 years, children in Mississippi to attend school when their parents’ convictions do not permit them to be vaccinated.“

    https://aaronsiri.substack.com/p/freedom-rings-in-mississippi?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=post_embed&utm_medium=web

    in reply to: Debt Rattle April 29 2023 #134363
    chooch
    Participant

    Dr. D wrote,

    “Are you all as astonished as I am at the resiliency of all markets in the face of that M2 plunge? I believe that’s unprecedented in the history of the world. Maybe the collapse of all Egyptian Wheat to Rome, or the Worldwide crop fail in 500AD, but way back.”

    Not really, it seems relative to trendline there is quite a long way left to go. Plotting it as a percent change, YoY masks the pop due to Covid bucks. Without this context it creates a really scary chart, one for the got gold crowd. Though, Buffet and Zell seem to have that “come to papa” look in their eyes.

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL

    in reply to: Debt Rattle April 28 2023 #134274
    chooch
    Participant
    in reply to: Debt Rattle April 26 2023 #134140
    chooch
    Participant

    “The vaccine decreases the ability to produce white blood cells by 50% from your first vaccine…” (Anonymous Big Pharma Whistleblower)

    Why is the anonymity needed? Whistles for sure, the ringing of the ears and all.

    They would like you to think that the HIV tie in was simply the result of some Covid re-infected HIV person that took months to get over it.

    Can’t say that I share Dr. Jones excitement. Hope you haven’t been sharing needles or getting flu jabbed (or both). I wonder else “messenger” RNA wakes (could) wake up.

    […] “There is prior knowledge of the flu vaccine, for example, waking up HIV and exposing it to the immune system; but it has been unclear whether that was only happening in flu-specific T cells, a known place where HIV hides,” said senior author Dr. Brad Jones, an associate professor of immunology in medicine in the Division of Infectious Diseases at Weill Cornell Medicine. “Our findings are exciting as we demonstrated a more powerful effect with the SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine. It woke up HIV hiding in T cells in blood from people with no previous exposure to the virus or the vaccine.”

    https://news.weill.cornell.edu/news/2022/08/sars-cov-2-mrna-vaccination-exposes-latent-hiv-in-lab-studies

    I am almost as confounded with the Japan as I am with Israel.

    [..] “As cynical as I’ve been towards their consistently pharma-friendly advice, I’ll think I’ll miss the advisory board’s weekly/biweekly output. Both they and I agree the number of Covid vaccines helps to determine the number of Covid deaths in each wave. We just disagree on exactly how it does so.”

    https://guygin.substack.com/p/japans-experts-get-excited-about

    in reply to: Debt Rattle April 22 2023 #133907
    chooch
    Participant

    mpsk,

    The DoD is working on it. In the future, before you get access to the drug, you will have to get the vax first.

    https://physicianresources.dana-farber.org/news/new-receptor-decoy-drug-neutralizes-covid-19-virus-and-its-variants

    in reply to: Debt Rattle April 14 2023 #133451
    chooch
    Participant

    Dr. D, you wrote:

    “Speaking of finance and manipulation, rumor has it China just mega-liquified their system. For why? Because they’re about to hit Taiwan before America has a chance to make more trouble? Because BoA is about to blow up and take out some derivatives books? Stay tuned…”

    Yes, they look to be in the process of re-liquifying their system. To what end? I am still trying to understand Jerome and Janet’s target for real rates. Looks like Fed Funds and CPI have reach parity. During the past 15 years it looks like holding rates real for any length of time caused something to break. So maybe this is an attempt by China to take control of capital markets buy exporting inflation forcing Powell to go Volcker.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/liftoff-imminent-china-injects-record-credit-kickstart-economy

    [..] Bottom line: the 2008 deja vu meter just went off the charts, because while the US is about to sink into a recession with commercial real estate set to fall all off a cliff, it is once again China that is – willingly or otherwise – set to serve as the world’s growth dynamo at a time when the entire developed world is about to max out at the same time.

    This is precisely what happened in 2008 when China unleashed the biggest credit expansion in modern history, sparking not only historic growth spree but also an exponential debt increase that sent China’s debt to over 300% of GDP.

    What happens next? Keep an eye on China’s credit impulse – this most leading indicator of the global reflationary cycle – which is about to rise above its two year highs after which it will again be on its way to new all time highs.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle April 11 2023 #133229
    chooch
    Participant

    T-Rex on the witness stand was wonderful humor. Thanks for the chuckle.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle April 11 2023 #133224
    chooch
    Participant

    Life is full of surprise, my day starts out wondering if dinosaur tastes like chicken.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle April 8 2023 #133058
    chooch
    Participant

    I can see Musk backing Bobby.

    https://www.facebook.com/1411189272541151/posts/pfbid038Fv2qSXRamQMDZEgx8p7HpcCEJfTLqxMpaKDtvBK1QsGR6urGPMYM74eH2J1GUYyl/?mibextid=cr9u03

    [..] Due to my long, strange friendship with Roger Ailes–which began in 1975 when we spent the summer in a tent together in Africa (It’s a long story!)–the now deceased executive regularly allowed me to appear and express contrary opinions on Fox talk shows.

    He drew a line, however, against direct criticism of his advertisers. In 2014, I was involved in the creation of a documentary critical of big Pharma, I asked him for an opportunity to discuss the subject on Neal Cavuto’s talk show. His answer was a hard “No!”

    “Bobby,” he told me, “during non-election years, the bulk of news division revenue comes from pharmaceutical advertisers. I would fire any Fox host who allowed you on their show. And if I didn’t Rupert [Murdoch, the network owner] would be on the phone with me in 10 minutes demanding scalps.”

    Elon Musk has proposed a return to the old standard which holds newscasters accountable for lying on our publicly owned airwaves. Anyone who cares about American democracy ought to agree.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle April 6 2023 #132882
    chooch
    Participant
    in reply to: Debt Rattle April 5 2023 #132803
    chooch
    Participant

    The irony of it all. That would be some crazy voodoo if Pfizer, Moderna… can shift the blame for the damage done by the mRNA biological onto Trump. If he makes it to the debate stage, this could be a smack down moment.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/555247-trump-takes-credit-for-vaccine-rollout-one-of-the-greatest-miracles/amp/

    Former President Trump on Tuesday gave himself credit for the current coronavirus vaccine rollout, calling it “one of the greatest miracles of the ages.”….

    https://www.science.org/content/article/exclusive-qa-robert-f-kennedy-jr-trumps-proposed-vaccine-commission

    (Jan. 10th, 2017)

    ScienceInsider caught up with Kennedy by telephone in an airport flight lounge shortly after he met with Trump in New York City. He made it clear that CDC’s vaccine scientists and practices will be a major focus of the commission’s work. Excerpts from our interview, which have been edited for brevity and clarity, appear below.

    Q: What happened in the meeting?

    A: It was an hour meeting and the vice president–elect came in to the last 15 minutes. The meeting was with [Trump] and Kellyanne Conway [recently appointed counselor to the president].

    Q: Did the president-elect request the meeting or did you?

    A: He called me a week ago to request it.

    Q: Why?

    A: He wants to make sure that we have the best vaccine science and the safest vaccine supply that we can have.

    …Click link to read the rest

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 30 2023 #132420
    chooch
    Participant

    Here is a link to some nice charts on all sorts of rates compared with measures of inflation. Just trying to make sense of it. First takeaway, No recession until FFR minus CPI is positive. Second takeaway, it looks like January was a good time to start rolling into IG corp. bonds. Just trying to make sense of it. My notions of how it would play out after the GFC were wrong, I begged off trying to make sense of it, but Covid created an outlier in terms of M2 money supply. Besides all the fear mongers are juicing their book.

    https://www.yardeni.com/pub/nomrealyield.pdf

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 30 2023 #132353
    chooch
    Participant

    To your point oxy, I recently read the checkable deposits for the top 10% are 4 trillion higher then 2019 levels. Let’s say say 4% interest and 35% tax rate. That’s still a lot of money for nothing (and your chicks for free)

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 29 2023 #132329
    chooch
    Participant

    Mr. House,

    Thanks for the link.

    Michael Lebowitz, from RealInvestmentAdvice is using the US 10yr Tbond minus inflation expectations to compute a real rate. With or without food and energy? Why doesnt he use inflation data straight up? I hate these guys. I doubt Janet is using the ten year.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 29 2023 #132327
    chooch
    Participant

    It wasn’t financial stability, She called it finacial sustainability.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 29 2023 #132325
    chooch
    Participant

    Yesterday, there was a snippet of an exchange between Yellen and Kennedy. He wanted to know if 51 trillion in debt (109% of GDP) was too much and if not what was.

    Her response went something like this, “The metric for assessing financial stability depends on interests rates, REAL interest rates. REAL Interest rates have been extremely low. This budget and previous budgets have projected that Real rates would move up to more normal levels, but not to the levels we saw several decades ago.” I would guess she was referring to the Volcker years.

    To me it is a curious statement, this reference to real interests rates. Which I gather is some interest rate minus some measure of inflation. Does anyone know which interest rate and which measure of inflation is she is using for her metric?

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 28 2023 #132242
    chooch
    Participant

    Hilarious tdk.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 28 2023 #132228
    chooch
    Participant

    If there was a “Fauci Award”, I think I know who A. Carpenter would nominate.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 25 2023 #132035
    chooch
    Participant

    Congrats DBS, you are about 1.6 billion glorious miles ahead of me (trips around the sun). As long as you are not a flat earther.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 17 2023 #131447
    chooch
    Participant

    The chart is plotted against years. Covid. My bad.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 17 2023 #131445
    chooch
    Participant

    Looks like the image didn’t post, Here is a link to the tweet that was in the last article that Raul linked.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 17 2023 #131444
    chooch
    Participant

    Regarding First Republic, I saw this chart and naturally your eyes are drawn to the bottom right, but what was caused reserves to spike up on 1/20 (both large and small banks) and the jump in reserves for MMF (money market funds?) on the 21st. Just curious.

    frb

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 9 2023 #130895
    chooch
    Participant

    I went and saw the movie “Jesus Revolution” recently. It was a segment of history I was not familiar with since I was pretty young during that time period. I had been doing some more research into it and came across the writings of Reverend E. L. (Stacey) Hebden Taylor, a professor of Economics and Sociology at Dordt College. Here are some excerpts from the Preface of his book, “Reformation or Revolution.” Copyright 1970.

    [..] . And so the great prophet of modern nihilism tells us the madman went into one church after another and intoned his requiem of the death of God. When asked what he was doing, he replied, “What are these churches now, if they are not the tombs of God.” Nietzsche, with the penetration of genius, had fixed upon the great new phenomenon of post-Christian Western society, the gradual fading out of the consciousness of God from the mind of Western man. He has driven Christ out of Christendom and now lives as if God were indeed dead.

    What had begun in the second half of the nineteenth century has gone very much further in the twentieth. As a result of this apostasy from God we are faced today with the fateful choice of revolution or reformation. The forces of unbelief have spread out from hotbeds of atheism in Europe to undermine the great AngloSaxon democracies. Our English-speaking nations today stand at the cross roads of their destiny. Our situation is remarkably similar to the conditions and climate of opinion which prevailed in Western Europe during the breakup of medieval Christendom in the “waning of the Middle Ages.” There is the same disrespect for the authority of government, the same breakdown of marriage and family life, the same scepticism and uncertainty regarding the nature and destiny of human life. In the later Middle Ages this movement of thought was called Nominalism or the “Modern Way”; today it is called logical positivism and language analysis. The universities of America, Britain, and Canada have become “multi-versities” in which all values are held to be relative and scientific method alone regarded as the avenue to truth and blessedness.

    Our present revolutionary situation is due to the breakdown of a unified field of knowledge and experience. A great symptom of this spiritual crisis now facing us is the growing drug addiction of our young people. Drug addiction is the symptom of the dis illusion of young people with the godless, inhuman, and depersonalized society in which they have had the misfortune to be born. It is an escape from the futility and boredom of modern life and an attempt to find the chemical equivalent of Christian grace and blessedness on the part of people who can no longer find any meaning to their lives. It is a sign of what happens when people live and behave as if God is in truth dead. When love is dead man is dead.

    Post-Christian man has created a sterile society in which both God and man are dead. Human life has become meaningless as apostate man finds himself reduced by his own science and technology to a cog in the great machine of nature and of society. The only way of escape lies in a non-rational world of experience, drugs, absurdity, pornography, an elusive “final experience,” and ultimate madness. The one freedom left to modern godless man, according to Michael Foucault in Madness and Civilization, is the freedom to become crazy.

    [..] As a result the biblical doctrine of creation became secularized as nature was proclaimed to work like a machine rather than an organism. The divine Creator became the deified image of the creative urge worked in man by his drive for freedom.

    [..] By the seventeenth century nature had totally devoured grace, and what was left in its place was man’s striving for freedom. However men soon found that their freedom was being threatened by the deterministic and mechanistic image of the world which their natural science was creating. Freedom was now understood as the reversion of man’s freedom in Christ. The individual’s freedom was no longer seen as dependence upon God and his law but as complete independence and autonomy from God.

    As such it soon came into conflict with man’s science ideal, since the latter tended to reduce man to a machine. The fight to retain freedom was carried on by the Romantic movement, beginning with Rousseau and Kant. Romantic literature and art express a casting aside of the industrial and scientific civilization as that which restrains and inhibits man’s freedom. It marked the birth of the Bohemian ideal. Thus by the beginning of the nineteenth century autonomous freedom and autonomous science stood facing each other in deadly combat. Soon science and technology was to swallow up freedom. In terms of the doctrine of the uniformity of natural causes working in a closed system, the mechanistic view of reality came to include not only physics but everything, including man. Apostate scientists such as Laplace, August Comte, Marx, and Lotze insisted on the complete unity of man’s spiritual and physical life, and so freedom disappeared. Neither God nor man’s freedom exist any more for Europe’s most advanced thinkers in the nineteenth century; everything is now placed in the great machine of Nature. Human values such as love and sympathy for the poor of Europe disappeared as an apostate economic individualism reduced the former peasants and guild craftsmen to slaves of the new factory sys tem. No one better reflected this new attitude towards life than the Marquis de Sade. Schaeffer writes of him in Escape from Reason: “He understood the direction that things would have to take when man is included in the machinery. The conclusions he drew were these: if man is determined, than what is is right. If all life is only mechanism—if that is all there is—then morals really do not count. Morals become only a word for a sociological framework. Morals become a means of manipulation by society in the midst of the machine. The word `morals’ by this time is only a semantic connotation word for non-morals. What is, is right.”

    [..] in America’s cult of violence on the streets, on her TV and cinema screens, in the death of man in art, music, and life. By making nature independent of God apostate modern man has thus brought upon himself the judgment of God, in so far as he finds that life without God is meaningless, hopeless, and loveless.

    On the basis of rationality, logic, and scientific determinism man’s life no longer has any meaning to it. Scientific humanism has cre ated a sterile society in which the individual as a person has been reduced to a statistic in the records of big business and big govern ment. His personality has been stripped from him leaving him to fulfill a function in a depersonalized, militarized, technological mass society as an empty husk of a person. Today millions of people are shirking off their responsibilities as parents, workers, citizens, and consumers, and they have surrendered them into the hands of the leviathan state, of the secular labor unions, political parties, and big business. In short, with the death of God they find themselves also dead if not dying in “The Waste Land” of modern society.

    [..] All that is now left for such people to do is to make a nonrational leap of faith into sex, drugs, anything they can think of, because they are now living under the line of apostate humanist despair. They have given up all hope of achieving a rational unified answer to the problems of knowledge and life.

    The Christian does not condemn the “hippies” out of hand. He agrees with the hippies’ diagnosis of modern society but rejects their solution. Anyone who can gladly accept society as it has become today is even more to be pitied than the “hippies” themselves. Un fortunately the “hippies” themselves are heading toward the same dead end as the dehumanized society they so vehemently condemn.
    Both socialist collectivism and hippie and beatnik individualism are based on the same false premise, namely, that man is the master of his own fate and that man is autonomous. The hippie movement is tragic insofar as it is doomed to failure, but its great value is that it gives us the opportunity while there is yet time for reformation and to look at ourselves and see what has become of our utopian revolutionary dreams of “liberty, equality, and fraternity,” without God. Our faith in science as man’s only savior has brought us to the edge of the abyss. The way of escape does not lie in a nonrational world of “first-order” experiences induced by drugs or by “happenings” but by a return to the true origin of meaning and purpose in human life. Man’s happiness cannot be found in pan theism or in surrender to drugs, but only in the service of God and of one’s neighbor. For the Christian real happiness only comes from obedience to the Great Commandment as summed up by the Lord Jesus Christ.

    [..] Likewise the Christian will point out to his unregenerate friends that meaning and purpose for modern man can only be found by returning to the biblical view of human nature and destiny, which locates man’s origin in the God who first created and then redeemed him. Only such biblical Christianity can restore dignity and meaning to modern life, because it refuses to divide up human experience between nature and grace, or freedom and nature, or faith and reason. Instead God’s Word provides us with a unified field of human experience and knowledge. God’s Word alone can provide us with the true ordering principle which gives us our frame of reference and only sure point of departure for all our theoretical and practical life. It does so by working in us a true knowledge of God, of ourselves, and of the law-order of the creation. The Word of God is the power by which the Lord God opens our hearts to “see” things as they really are.

    Apart from this revealed framework of creation, radical fall into sin, and equally radical redemption by Jesus Christ in the com munion of the Holy Spirit, man’s fallen reason darkened by sin uncovers only a meaningless and irrational chance . 8 God’s Word alone can put meaning into the facts uncovered by scientific investi gation and show us how to use our science to God’s glory and the benefit of human welfare and the improvement of man’s estate. Without this biblical frame of reference, the data provided by scien tific investigation is ultimately meaningless. True knowledge is thus made possible by true religion and arises from the knowing activity of the human heart enlightened through the Word of God by the Holy Spirit. Thus biblical Christianity can play a decisive part in reforming modern life and guide us in the ordering of our everyday experience and scientific activities.

    Reformational Christianity can not only provide modern man with a unified field of knowledge for his science, but it can also provide a way out of the false dilemma of individualism versus col lectivism, socialism versus capitalism, racism versus integration, for the Bible alone reveals the true basis for society in a cultural unity in diversity. Man’s personality can develop only in relationship to God and with his neighbor. The common error of both conservative individualism and socialist collectivism is that both take their starting point in man, whether this be the individual or the group. The biblical view of man in society overcomes this dichotomy in social science. In the light of God’s Word we know that God created man for community with his fellow men and as a social being. This means that man does not find his purpose in himself as John Locke supposed, or in the group as Karl Marx supposed, but in the God who created him. The individual and the community are equally called to live in obedience to the laws of their creator.

    It is only by such obedience to God’s creation ordinances for human society that the present conflicts rending society apart can be re solved. If the individual and the community will occupy their God given place in a truly Christian society dominated by adventure for God in the context of love and service, their need for drug addiction, civil disobedience and other forms of social deviance will disappear. In such a reformational society young people would once more find a reason to live, and they would not need to take to drugs but they would become busy being “hip” to God’s great laws.

    In this book we shall describe how men have tried to make their social life independent of God’s creation norms for their lives and the tragic results of this apostasy. We shall then suggest a reformational, biblically based solution for the grave problems now facing modern society, especially in the field of industrial relations.

    [..] May the Lord Jesus Christ, once Carpenter of Nazareth and now risen Lord and Savior of the Holy, Universal, and Apostolic Churches of God throughout the world by the Holy Spirit, bless this work and use it to the glory of God the Father and in bringing back peace, joy, and love to the workers and managers of industry, the husbands and wives and their children, and reconciliation between the classes and races of the world. May Reformation rather than Revolution prevail.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle March 9 2023 #130891
    chooch
    Participant

    Viruses must attach to specific receptors on the barrier between the outside and the inside of our bodies before they can get in. When the viruses attach to the receptors, they do so by using a spike protein. After the viruses attach using their spike proteins, the cells can pull the viruses in and make more copies. If the copies get released into your blood and lymph and tissue spaces, you are now considered to be infected. The only way to stop this from happening is to prevent the virus from being copied and released at the epithelial barrier. This is done by cells of the innate immune system without involving serum antibodies (the ones in your blood). It can also be done by special mucosal secretory IgA antibodies that result from natural exposure to viruses moving through that epithelial barrier. IgA antibodies are on the outside of you and cannot be produced by injecting something into your body, bypassing the epithelial barrier.

    See Figure 1. In following link. Omicron seems out of family when compared with Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta.

    https://mdpi-res.com/d_attachment/viruses/viruses-15-00067/article_deploy/viruses-15-00067.pdf?version=1671960590#page12

    “Currently, Omicron variants inefficiently use TMPRSS2, causing the spike to rely on cell entry through endocytosis [44]. This caused a change in the cellular tropism of SARS-CoV-2, moving away from TMPRSS2-expressing cells. However, BA.5 has recently shown efficient use of TMPRSS2, indicating a possible shift back to pre-Omicron tropism and infectious mechanism [45].”

    The possible shift back to an earlier tropism reminded me of something Sorotkin had pointed out.

    “Until SARS-CoV-2 is understood as a LAV that’s deattenuating towards a highly-pathogenic chimeric coronavirus that’s going through gatekeeping mutations and has no intention whatsoever of following the assumptions drawn from observing natural evolution or even the paths of the H1N1 LAVs which melted back into their original endogenous human hosts – humanity is going to continue to be standing on its head as it attempts to battle this.”

    At the end of the day, it was designed to be a bio-weapon, intended to debilitate a nation or area slowly, with plausible deniability, over a decade or two or three.

    So did the Chinese release Omicron after they had their country locked down? Seems pretty diabolical, but who is to say?

    Still probably wouldn’t hurt to have some IVM, HCQ….. on hand going forward.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle February 9 2023 #128606
    chooch
    Participant

    Hmmm,

    Article over on ZeroHedge has the following headline, “El-Erian Warns About Disinflationista’s “Dangerous Complacency”.

    Wonder if a writer from ZH has been hanging out in the TEOTWAWKI fight club comment section.

    in reply to: A Tale of Two Presidents: Biden vs. Trump #127662
    chooch
    Participant

    ram,

    “I won’t comment on the ones I knew personally.”

    Which ones?

    Golf? Lunches? Trap shooting? …seconds? minutes? hours? Days? Months? Years?

    Don’t say anything that would endanger your life.

    in reply to: Predictions 1: War #125740
    chooch
    Participant

    Still unconfirmed, but counterattack south of the salt mine has failed. Also, Russians now have the fire control over that fateful T0513 road (connecting Bakhmut with Siversk), and they do have the fire control over the M03 highway (connecting Bakhmut with Slovyansk).

    Photos, of Wagner Boss in salt mine hitting social media.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle January 4 2023 #125017
    chooch
    Participant

    Around xmas, Ukraine used a repurposed TU-141 to hit a bomber base in Russia. How is it that a 7 ton steel rocket ship from from the 1970s flew for over a hour across their airspace undetected? Shortly thereafter,All Kalibr missile-carrying ships were withdrawn from the Black Sea.

    Satellite, imagery from this summer onward, indicates that Russia has been cannibalizing precision guided missiles from their air defense systems around the country.

    Russian Telegram channels have been void of criticism of the Russians forces for awhile. There are new rules in place to discourage that. I was a bit surprised to see this recently. (Topaz had 50k followers)

    https://wartranslated.com/russian-fighter-topaz-on-artillery-shell-hunger-and-discipline-of-the-mobilised/

    Anyway, short of Ukraine getting longer range missiles, this artillery centric conflict is likely to grind on for another year. There is an outlier though. Ukraine may have a modern home grown precision guided missile solution. They were 80% to 90% there prior to the war. It has been speculated that prototypes were used to hit Saky airbase and the Kerch bridge last year. Who knows, but something to keep an eye on. Good piece on munition consumption and supply.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle January 4 2023 #125016
    chooch
    Participant

    Whenever there is chatter about Ukraine receiving longer range precision guided missiles. Russia messaging goes full on nukem.

    BTW, total game changer if Ukraine gets them. They could bomb every Russian headquarters, every transport hub or ammunition depot in Crimea. An offensive towards Melitopol that secures the axis of the E105 & M14 along with the rail lines will mean the land bridge to Crimea is cut and the Peninsula is basically a large open air holding area without logistics. If you are general Armageddon, this is what keeps you up at night. This what seems to keep the West up at night.

    Kadyrov acting out some sort of power ranger fantasy.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle January 4 2023 #125015
    chooch
    Participant

    Bakhmut stalled, The owner of Wagner PMC opines.

    Ever wonder why are they wasting valuable guided missiles to hit civilian targets in Kyiv etc instead of actually helping their own forces not get dead so much and hit Uk rear supply lines and logistics etc etc… Rumors are circulating that Russian borders will be closed to men leaving the motherland, more mobilization and martial law is coming this month.

    With this overwhelming advantage, why are they whining about a Patriot missile battery, 8 launchers/4 missiles per. They should be able to own the air and crush Bakhmut in days.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle December 31 2022 #124701
    chooch
    Participant

    bonds

    A three-peat is historically unlikely, returns after down years look decent.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle December 31 2022 #124696
    chooch
    Participant

    My curiosity was triggered due to some recent experiences/observations and as a result I have been reviewing some old notes.

    “Early on it was reported that “a superantigen-like motif akin to staphylococcal enterotoxin B (SEB) was discovered near the S1/S2 cleavage site of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, which might explain the MIS in children and cytokine storm in patients with severe COVID-19.”

    https://www.news-medical.net/amp/news/20201125/Inhibiting-SARS-CoV-2-cell-entry-with-monoclonal-antibodies-against-staphylococcal-enterotoxin-B-superantigen.aspx

    The Ethical Skeptic once commented that Omicron is like a loaded gun with the safety on. Not sure where I pinched the following, could have been from the Skeptic but not sure.

    “If you were to design a pathogen, it would make sense to include a lethal element (SEB) and an immunosuppressive element (HIV). It is a little curious that this SEB part of the spike protein seems to be attenuated or, even, “turned off” in the Omicron variant. Of the many mutations in omicron the most
    interesting two are in the SEB domain. While staphylococcal enterotoxin B (SEB) is associated with food poisoning, it has been studied for potential utilization as an inhaled biological weapon.”

    I came across this the other day. Just something to keep an eye on. Monday night fever, Tuesday morning breathing issues, Tuesday afternoon dead.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/a-36-year-old-mom-died-of-flu-less-than-a-day-after-getting-sick-in-a-1-in-a-million-case/ar-AA15GlYM?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=b3e32b617502468895cea306af55be0e

    Somebody suggested the following timeline
    -2018, a virus is made in a wuhan lab, where it gets into the world. It gets ignored, and respiratory deaths are blamed on a “mystery virus” in local papers, and everything else under the sun.
    -Hospitals quietly changed the protocol to stop administering Azithromycin for pneumonia, even though that was standard.
    -Suddenly, out of nowhere, videos start coming out of China of relatively healthy looking people falling down and fish flopping all over the ground.
    -Ventilators are pushed
    -meds are withheld
    -OTC and vitamin data is suppressed
    -Doctors are banned from social media, licenses revoked.
    -Death count rises.
    -pandemic
    -Vaccine.

    Recent video from Chris Martenson

    https://t.co/cBItUOzG3u

    in reply to: Debt Rattle December 13 2022 #123327
    chooch
    Participant

    Hey Phoenix,

    Four chords to be a star.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle December 13 2022 #123295
    chooch
    Participant

    Because of zero Covid, is China’s population dry tinder for the next wave of respiratory bugs? Did their vax negatively impact immunity? Will Omicron all of a sudden become deadly? Will they be in the streets demanding mRNA by February?

    [..] On Friday, China confirmed in a press briefing that it would let German nationals receive the BioNTech COVID vaccine, which uses mRNA technology, in exchange for German health authorities on Wednesday approving China’s Sinovac jab for Chinese nationals living in Germany.

    [..] Several Chinese companies are developing mRNA vaccines, but none have made it to final approval. In September, Indonesia—not China—became the first country to approve a Chinese-developed mRNA vaccine, from pharmaceutical company Walvax.

    https://fortune.com/2022/12/12/china-approves-biontech-pfizer-mrna-covid-vaccine-restrictions/amp/

    [..] Why will Covid spread so quickly? China’s population has low immunity to the virus. Due to Beijing’s Covid clampdown, many people haven’t been infected at all. And the government has refused to import effective mRNA vaccines from Western countries, instead relying on domestic jabs. The country’s elderly are especially susceptible: One-third of citizens 60 and over haven’t gotten a third, Omicron-specific shot.

    https://www.morningbrew.com/daily/stories/2022/12/12/china-covid

    [..] So the question we have: Why did Beijing ease zero Covid policies when no preparations have been made to meet the coming winter ‘tsunami’ of infections? 

    https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/health-experts-urge-beijing-accelerate-approval-enhanced-covid-jabs-amid-winter-wave

    China’s coming COVID tsunami?

    https://thechinaproject.com/2022/12/08/chinas-coming-covid-tsunami/amp/

    in reply to: Debt Rattle December 10 2022 #123128
    chooch
    Participant

    Holy hell, It looks like Turkey may have provided Ukraine longer range rockets.

    https://twitter.com/John_A_Ridge/status/1601761106825211905?s=20&t=_KMI0k8FPLhkQcHXLVyt6g

    in reply to: Debt Rattle December 10 2022 #123117
    chooch
    Participant

    155mm shells delivered to Ukraine jumped up by 80,000 over the past two weeks – that’s the highest monthly rate since the war began.

    https://media.defense.gov/2022/Nov/23/2003120409/-1/-1/1/UKRAINE%20FACT%20SHEET%2020221123.PDF

    in reply to: Debt Rattle December 9 2022 #123011
    chooch
    Participant

    Oxy thanks for that. I need to chop more wood and carry some water.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle December 4 2022 #122606
    chooch
    Participant

    Dr. D,

    Several days ago, you commented, “If Europe falls where will all the cash flow to? That’s right to Jamie Dimon and Powell’s higher interest rates.”

    Today you expanded on this line of reason, and I truly appreciated your commentary. After 2008, I could just never see how the math might close and we were long overdue for a jubilee.

    You have probably come across some version of this anecdote somewhere in the past but in case you haven’t I will attempt to explain it. Let’s simply say there are three wealthy individuals that show up to a conference. Through their business dealings, they have debts that are owed to one another. Let’s say Bob owes Jim $100 million, and Jim owes Mary $100 million and Mary owes Bob $100 million. Another super rich guy shows up to the conference with $100 million cash in his suitcase. Bob gets wind of this and sneaks into the guy’s hotel room and pinches the $100 million suitcase. He settles his debt with Jim, who then settles his debt to Mary, and she settles her debt with Bob. Now Bob was just trying to get out of debt to Jim by using someone else’s money and was not expecting to leave the conference out of debt to Jim and $100 million wealthier so he figures the right thing to do would be to sneak the $100 million suitcase back into the rich guy’s room. He was able to sneak back in, but the rich guy was there. Bob decides he will leave the suitcase and bolt. As he slowly lowers the suitcase to the ground, the rich guy says, “fugetaboutit”.

    As I understand it, there is this large network of trade that is built on US dollarized transactions. Dollars get added to the system largely via credit creation. This doesn’t create all the interest that is required in the future, so in the limit somebody is going to come up short. When I look at how much public debt we owe I find that a lot of it is owed to the government (ourselves). So, can we really default on ourselves? Which I would concur, as you do, is not likely.

    I realize we view the war in Ukraine through a very different set of beer goggles but preserving this network of dollar denominated trade probably has more to do with how the US is managing the conflict than anything.

    If Elon musk were Chinese, he would be Jack Ma’ed and if he were Russian, he would be wise to be careful around windows.

    Anyway, I am very curious about your continued commentary on our move to digital coin money and how you plan to navigate/surf it.

    Thanks

    in reply to: Debt Rattle December 3 2022 #122566
    chooch
    Participant

    Who is they?

    Seems likely BioNTech is the logical “they”. Then there is the why, power, greed, depopulation…

    Sometimes it seems to me China is playing both the US and Russia.

    Then I read something like this and it seems China is about to be played too.

    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01690-3

    “In 2021, BioNTech announced it would open its Asia headquarters in Singapore, and also open a vaccine manufacturing plant there, with support from the Singapore Economic Development Board. The Singapore factory is expected to be operational by 2023 and produce hundreds of millions of doses of mRNA vaccines per year. A collaboration with Fosun Pharma is planned to add a facility in China to produce a billion doses per year for China, Macau, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, though as of August 2021, the PRC had not approved any foreign-developed COVID-19 vaccines.” (Source Wikipedia)

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